大堡礁三萬年來的興衰起落
全世界最大的珊瑚礁系統曾經歷過五次死亡事件
由雪梨大學的副教授Jody Webster領導的國際研究顯示大堡礁具有從劇烈的環境變遷中復原的韌性,但它們對沉積物輸入量的增加和水質惡化也極為敏感。
在一項關於大堡礁的劃時代國際研究中,研究人員顯示過去三萬年來,這座世界最大的珊瑚礁系統曾經遭受五次死亡事件,成因大都是海平面變化以及隨之產生的環境變遷。
透過在海底四處遷移的方式,大堡礁能在數千年內適應海水漲落時迅速發生的環境變化。
由雪梨大學的副教授Jody Webster領導的這篇研究發表於今日的《自然―地質科學》(Nature Geoscience),他們首度重建出過去30000年以來,大堡礁因應劇烈且迅速的環境變遷而隨之演化的歷程。
這項歷經10年的跨國研究成果顯示,大堡礁從海平面上升或海洋溫度變化之類的重大環境變遷中復原的韌性比之前認為的還強,但它對沉積物輸入量的增加和水質惡化也極為敏感。
屬於雪梨大學地球科學院和海岸地質研究團隊的副教授Webster表示,在全世界的珊瑚礁都在減少的當下,大堡礁的韌性是否足以讓它撐過這次危機仍然是個未知數。
「我們的研究顯示大堡礁有能力從上個冰河期和冰消期發生的死亡事件中復原回來。」他說,「然而,我們也發現大堡礁對於流入的沉積物增加是極為敏感的,從現今的土地利用情形來看這很令人擔憂。」
研究用的數據為化石礁核的地形、沉積學、生物和定年資訊,它們分布於凱恩斯和麥凱的16個地點。
研究涵蓋的時間從「末次冰盛期」(Last Glacial Maximum)以前就開始了。末次冰盛期大約位於距今20000年前,當時的海平面比現在的還低了118公尺。
歷史上的死亡事件
在末次冰盛期以前數千年的海面下降過程中,大約在30000年前和22000年前發生了兩次大範圍的死亡事件,原因是珊瑚礁暴露在空氣當中(也稱作露出地表)。在這段期間,大堡礁往海洋的方向移動以試著跟上海面下降的速度。
而在末次冰盛期之後的冰消期,大約17000年和13000年前發生了另外兩起珊瑚礁死亡事件,原因為海平面迅速上升。在此同時大堡礁往陸地的方向移動以試著追上海面上升的速度。
分析礁體樣本和沉積物輸入速率的數據,顯示海平面上升時發生的珊瑚礁死亡事件可能跟沉積物大幅增加有關。
最後一次的珊瑚礁死亡事件發生在大約10000年前,不久之後,在距今9000年前左右現代的大堡礁開始形成。該次事件跟已知的任何一次海平面突然急遽上升,或者是冰消期出現的「冰融水脈衝」(meltwater
pulse)都沒有關聯。反之,它看起來跟全球海平面上升伴隨而來的沉積物大量增加以及水質下降有所關聯。
作者提出隨著時間經過大堡礁可以憑藉自身之力東山再起,是因為可供珊瑚和珊瑚藻建立礁體的棲地一直都在,加上珊瑚礁能以每年0.2至1.5公尺的速度橫向遷移。
未來的存活機會
然而,Webster副教授表示這種速度恐怕沒辦法讓大堡礁撐過它現在面臨的危機:包括海溫快速上升、珊瑚覆蓋面積急速降低、年復一年的珊瑚白化,以及自歐洲人遷入之後持續惡化的水質,而沉積物進入環境的量也越來越多。
他說:「從現況看來,我很擔心大堡礁的能耐是否可以讓它度過目前這些眾多的壓力,以及在不遠之後的未來預計產生的更多壓力所造成的整個變化歷程。」
Webster副教授表示前人研究得出海洋表面溫度曾經上升幾度,但這是建立在數萬年的時間尺度之上。然而,在現今的預測中,海洋表面溫度在一個世紀之內就會上升大約0.7度。
他說:「我們的研究顯示過去大堡礁除了能因應海面變化而做出調整以外,它對沉積物的輸入量特別敏感,意味著我們需要瞭解第一級產業的運作,會對現在這段期間的沉積物輸入量以及礁體上方的水質造成什麼影響。」
Rise and fall of the Great Barrier
Reef over 30,000 years
World’s largest reef system has suffered five death events
An
international study led by University of Sydney's Associate Professor Jody
Webster has shown the reef is resilient to major environmental changes but is
highly sensitive to increased sediment input and poor water quality.
A landmark international
study of the Great Barrier Reef has shown that in the past 30,000 years the
world’s largest reef system has suffered five death events, largely driven by
changes in sea level and associated environmental change.
Over millennia, the reef
has adapted to sudden changes in environment by migrating across the sea floor
as the oceans rose and fell.
The study published today
in Nature Geoscience, led by University of Sydney’s Associate
Professor Jody Webster, is the first of its kind to reconstruct the evolution
of the reef over the past 30 millennia in response to major, abrupt
environmental change.
The 10-year, multinational
effort has shown the reef is more resilient to major environmental changes such
as sea-level rise and sea-temperature change than previously thought but also
showed a high sensitivity to increased sediment input and poor water quality.
Associate Professor Webster
from the University’s School of Geosciences and Geocoastal Research Group said
it remains an open question as to whether its resilience will be enough for it
to survive the current worldwide decline of coral reefs.
“Our study shows the reef
has been able to bounce back from past death events during the last glaciation
and deglaciation,” he said. “However, we found it is also highly sensitive to
increased sediment input, which is of concern given current land-use
practices.”
The study used data from
geomorphic, sedimentological, biological and dating information from fossil
reef cores at 16 sites at Cairns and Mackay.
The study covers the period
from before the “Last Glacial Maximum” about 20,000 years ago when sea levels
were 118 metres below current levels.
History of death events
As sea levels dropped
in the millennia before that time, there were two widespread death events (at
about 30,000 years and 22,000 years ago) caused by exposure of the reef to air,
known as subaerial exposure. During this period, the reef moved seaward to try
to keep pace with the falling sea levels.
During the
deglaciation period after the Last Glacial Maximum, there were a further two
reef-death events at about 17,000 and 13,000 years ago caused by rapid sea
level rise. These were accompanied by the reef moving landward, trying to keep
pace with rising seas.
Analysis of
the core samples and data on sediment flux show these reef-death events from
sea-level rise were likely associated with high increases in sediment.
The final
reef-death event about 10,000 years ago, from before the emergence of the
modern reef about 9000 years ago, was not associated with any known abrupt
sea-level rise or “meltwater pulse” during the deglaciation. Rather it appears
to be associated with a massive sediment increase and reduced water quality
alongside a general rise in sea level.
The authors
propose that the reef has been able to re-establish itself over time due to
continuity of reef habitats with corals and coralline-algae and the reef’s
ability to migrate laterally at between 0.2 and 1.5 metres a year.
Future survival
However,
Associate Professor Webster said it was unlikely that this rate would be enough
to survive current rates of sea surface temperature rises, sharp declines in
coral coverage, year-on-year coral bleaching or decreases in water quality and
increased sediment flux since European settlement.
“I have grave
concerns about the ability of the reef in its current form to survive the pace
of change caused by the many current stresses and those projected into the near
future,” he said.
Associate
Professor Webster said previous studies have established a past sea surface
temperature rise of a couple of degrees over a timescale of 10,000 years.
However, current forecasts of sea surface temperature change are around 0.7
degrees in a century.
“Our study
shows that as well as responding to sea-level changes, the reef has been
particularly sensitive to sediment fluxes in the past and that means, in the
current period, we need to understand how practices from primary industry are
affecting sediment input and water quality on the reef,” he said.
原始論文:Jody M.
Webster, Juan Carlos Braga, Marc Humblet, Donald C. Potts, Yasufumi Iryu,
Yusuke Yokoyama, Kazuhiko Fujita, Raphael Bourillot, Tezer M. Esat, Stewart
Fallon, William G. Thompson, Alexander L. Thomas, Hironobu Kan, Helen V.
McGregor, Gustavo Hinestrosa, Stephen P. Obrochta, Bryan C. Lougheed. Response
of the Great Barrier Reef to sea-level and environmental changes over the past
30,000 years. Nature Geoscience, 2018; DOI: 10.1038/s41561-018-0127-3
引用自:University of Sydney. “Rise and fall of
the Great Barrier Reef over 30,000 years.”